Financial liberalisation

Capital Mobility

Capital controls

Openness: Industrialised countries

Openness: emerging / developing countries

Flows: industrialised countries

Reminder: the trinity

The end of Keynesian norms

Monetarism (again)

Monetarism is against capital controls.

Washington consensus

The ten policy commandments

Big change in mentality.

Diffusion (I): spread of ideas

Interest-based mechanisms

  • Industrialized Countries: Competitive Deregulation.
  • Developing Countries: Competition for FDI.

UK / US Lead

Diffusion (II): competitive deregulation

They used a survival model, survival function basically works like life expectancy in a given situation.

Crises and reorientation

Multinational corporations

Host country effects

Diffusion (III): Competition for FDI

Mechanism: see slide 16 Or: Imitation? Learning? External Pressure?

The role of the IMF

  • Key Developments: Breakdown of Bretton Woods (1973) and the rise of the G7; recurrent financial crises: Latin American Debt crisis, (1982ff); post-communist transitions (1990ff); Asian Financial Crisis (1997-98); emerging markets crises (1990s/2000s); Eu- ropean crisis (2008ff).
  • Revival of the Fund: sovereign debt management, capital account crisis management, economic transitions and reform.

The IMF

IMF Programs

Structural conditions

Why?

Conclusion

UNIGE PIER